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Decision Scenarios
Ensure Information Systems
Meet Business Needs
Robert Reck (Adapted
from original submission to Computerworld, September 30, 1985)
Communication between builders of management information and the managers
they intend to serve is usually good. Thus, the systems built for the managers
are always successful in meeting the managers' real business needs for information.
Right? Wrong.
Experience at many firms indicates a number of problems in this communications
link and, subsequently, in the usefulness of the resulting system. These problems
fall on both sides of the systems/managerial fence. Often, the manager abrogates
the responsibility for building a meaningful system. The staff is supposed
to be psychic in determining what the boss needs to know and providing it
- no more and certainly no less.
However, overzealous information systems builders can drive business executives
into a data-rich, information-poor situation, which is increasingly characteristic
of many of today's businesses, by adding to the system data elements that
may not be needed.
What can be done to improve the communication of management support needs
and the delivery of the action-oriented systems a business can actually use?
Use Decision Scenarios
One answer, proven in many experiences, is the use of decision scenarios.
A decision scenario, as its name suggests, is the description of a particular
business problem for which appropriate decisions must be made.
The business problem for a scenario is chosen by the business area manager
during an interview with the company's systems analyst builder. Then the analyst-builder
outlines and refines the decision scenario, a hypothetical situation rooted
in the manager's functional area and tied to the business that needs support.
The information that could help manage the particular business problem is
postulated by both the manager and the analyst-builder, resulting in the development
of management support systems that are effective and created with low risk.
A Dynamic Approach
This dynamic approach to management support systems development is in contrast
to traditional, static approaches that develop a snapshot of the business
situation merely through a functional specification. The decision scenario
unfolds over a period of two weeks or months through careful, two-way communication
between the developer and the "owner", or system user.
A decision scenario should not be confused with a critical success factor
analysis or a prototype. A decision scenario is to be used as a link between
the identified critical success factors and the actual prototype stage.
Recently, the decision scenario process was used at a major manufacturing
company. The company determined that one of the major critical success factors
requiring information support involved the timely purchase of raw materials.
The vice-president of purchasing, identified as the owner of this critical
business area, worked closely with the systems analyst-builder to create a
hypothetical situation that would help identify what type of information systems
were needed to manage this critical business area.
In their first meeting, the vice-president and the analyst-builder discussed
the business of purchasing as it affected the manufacturing company. The vice-president
of purchasing was highly skeptical that information technology could help
him manage his responsibilities. He had always used manual techniques and
maintained manual records in which he had a high degree of confidence. The
analyst-builder assured him that the information and techniques he needed
to manage his business would be developed independently of any technology
considerations.
In the series of interviews that followed, they were able to construct the
decision scenario by postulating a purchasing structure that included a listing
of raw materials and their suppliers, projected inventory volumes, safety
stocks for key customers, sales forecasts and actual volumes and costs.
Over the next few months, during each successive interview, more information
was added to the scenario. Its complexity was steadily increased to reflect
the full scale of anticipated or unanticipated problems in the business area
by hypothesizing some information on paper charts using scales of unavoidable,
acceptable and favorable.
Then, in a series of working sessions with the vice-president, the analyst-builder
showed how obtaining and using the right information could help in purchasing
raw materials on a timely basis.
Through simple, limited examples, the analyst-builder taught the vice-president
to use both the information and the initial technology itself to improve the
company inventory and stock control, safety stock management service for customers
and evaluation of stock offerings by suppliers.
The vice-president never knew that the "system" the analyst-builder
was showing him was just a shell. Like the kind of stage sets used in western
movies, the required data is visible, but the supporting structure is initially
nonexistent.
The technique allows both parties to experiment with data needs and uses before
the project becomes too costly to alter. Usually during this stage in the
process, the scenario changes often.
After five working sessions, the decision scenario was well defined and close
to the real business situation at the manufacturing company. Prototyping began,
and after using successive prototype versions of the system, the vice-president
of purchasing's original skepticism was transformed into enthusiasm for both
the project and technology use.
Through this dynamic process, the company now created a valuable low-risk,
low-cost business tool that continues to be used and praised by senior management.
When building a management information system, critical success factors and
prototyping alone are not enough. As this manufacturing company discovered,
the use of a decision scenario improves the communication of management support
needs, thus facilitating the delivery of action-oriented systems.
Four Key Elements
To put decision scenarios to work in your company, keep in mind the four key
elements followed by the manufacturing company in this example.
-
Target your decision
scenario on a critical area of the business after critical success factors
have been determined.
-
Construct your scenario
around the business questions a manger poses. and the key assumptions
a manager poses and the key assumptions to be tracked in each critical
business situation.
-
Develop decision
scenarios without considering the available data or technology that will
be required. Focus on information content, not technology and data availability.
-
Show the manager
what information is really needed to manage the business area.
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